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3.1.2005

Whither Lebanon? Wither, Syria

Great news continues for lovers of liberty:

Minutes after Prime Minister Omar Karami announced he was stepping down, jubilant demonstrators — shouting, waving flags and handing red roses to soldiers — demanded that Syrian-backed President Emile Lahoud (search) bow out, too, and pressed on with their calls for Syria to withdraw its troops from the country.


This puts Assad in an untenable position. If he crushes dissent in Lebanon, he'll run afoul of the international community (insignificant) and the Coalition (very significant).

Syria Boxed In

Prior to the Iraq War, the U.S. options were limited to attacking Syria from Turkey (dicy proposition nowadays) or from Israel (not going to happen, ever).

Placing the bulk of the U.S. Army in Iraq changes the equation significantly.

Add a friendly Lebanon to the mix, and Assad's days are numbered.

Messing with the "insurgency" looks to have been a very, very stupid move for Assad.

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